The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board released its April 2026 Market Watch this week, and the headline tells a nuanced story: more people are buying, but prices are still lower than a year ago. For buyers, that's a window of opportunity that may not last much longer. For sellers, it's a sign that spring is the right moment — but pricing discipline is still critical.

Here's everything you need to know, broken down by region and what it actually means on the ground.

The Top-Line Numbers

5,946
Homes sold in April 2026
+7%
Sales vs. April 2025
$1,051,969
GTA average sold price
−4.9%
Price change vs. April 2025
17,097
New listings (−9.3% YoY)
−6.6%
MLS HPI Composite benchmark

The drop in new listings is actually the most interesting data point here. Sellers who were waiting on the sidelines appear to be holding back — either because they don't want to sell at lower-than-peak prices, or because they've chosen to wait for further rate cuts. That supply pullback is creating more competition between buyers in certain pockets, even while prices remain below last year's levels.

Regional Breakdown: Where Are the Best Opportunities?

Region Sales (April 2026) Avg. Sold Price
City of Toronto 2,312 $1,091,761
York Region 994 $1,131,433
Peel Region 996 $950,415
Durham Region 708 $844,018
Simcoe County 210 $842,835

Durham at $844,018 remains the most accessible freehold detached market with genuine GO Transit access to downtown Toronto. Buyers who can't stretch to Peel or York prices are finding real value in Ajax, Whitby, and Oshawa — particularly for properties under $800K.

What's Driving the Sales Increase?

Two factors are working together here. First, the Bank of Canada's policy rate has been held at 2.25% since October 2025. Variable rate mortgages have stabilized and fixed rates from major lenders are sitting in the 4.2–4.8% range — far more manageable than the 5.5–6%+ environment of 2023.

Second, buyers who have been sitting on the sidelines through 2024 and early 2025 are slowly re-entering the market, particularly in the freehold detached segment where prices have softened meaningfully. The "wait and see" crowd is starting to realize that waiting further may not pay off — especially with new listings declining.

Jerold's take: The window for buyers to purchase with low competition and soft prices is narrowing. If new listing supply continues to shrink while sales increase, we could see the SNLR (Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio) tip back into seller's market territory by late summer. Buyers acting in May and June 2026 are likely to look back on this as the right call.

What It Means If You're Selling

Working in Your Favour

  • Fewer competing listings = your home stands out more
  • Sales activity is up 7% — more active buyers in the pool
  • Spring is statistically the strongest selling season
  • Buyer confidence improving as rates stabilize

Challenges to Plan Around

  • Prices still 4.9% below April 2025 — buyers know this
  • MLS HPI down 6.6% — buyers have access to comp data
  • Days on market longer than 2021–2022 norms
  • Overpriced listings sitting and getting stigmatized

The sellers doing well in April 2026 are the ones who priced correctly from day one. With buyer awareness of market data at an all-time high, an overpriced listing gets ignored immediately. Proper staging, professional photography, and a competitive list price are non-negotiable in this environment.

What It Means If You're Buying

The April data reinforces that you still have more leverage than buyers did in 2021–2022, but that leverage is shrinking. Fewer new listings means less choice. An improving sales pace means more buyers competing for the homes that do hit the market.

If you've been pre-approved and actively looking, May and June 2026 represent the strongest window for negotiation before the market tightens further heading into summer. Conditions are particularly favourable in:

The Next BoC Decision: June 10

The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement is scheduled for June 10, 2026. The overnight rate is currently held at 2.25%, and most economists expect another hold given that inflation ticked up to 2.4% in March (partly driven by gasoline price increases tied to global energy markets). A hold in June would keep mortgage rates roughly where they are through summer — which supports the current buying environment without creating a surge in competition.

Whether you're buying, selling, or just trying to understand what the April data means for your specific situation — Jerold can walk you through it with no pressure and no obligation.

Call (647) 291-3755

Source: TRREB Market Watch — April 2026. Bank of Canada rate information from Bank of Canada April 29, 2026 Rate Decision. All figures in Canadian dollars.